Follow| Archive In the 3+ years since we launched TSN EDGE, I’ve learned a lot of important lessons. None of them is more important than this: There is a significant difference between considering something more likely to happen than not, and that thing actually happening.
Let me give you an example. What if I told you that Randall Cobb had recorded 42+ receiving yards in three straight games, was coming off a season-high seven catches for 99 yards on 13 targets, and had a favourable match-up against the New York Jets on Sunday.
Would it be reasonable to assert that it is more likely than not that Cobb would deliver 39 percent or more of his overall production and finish with 39+ receiving yards versus New York?
I thought it seemed reasonable when I made Cobb over 38.5 receiving yards my FanDuel Best Bet for Sunday. So, when Cobb didn’t get a single target in the first half of Sunday’s loss and recorded just one catch for eight yards before going down with a serious ankle injury, it reminded me of that important rule.