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Breaking down college football playoff picture, conference races - ESPN

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We're two weeks from the first College Football Playoff rankings of the season, and if my social media mentions are any indication, it appears people have begun to think about the endgame here.

The 2024 college football season has been a delightful mix of paradigm-shifting upsets and big games that exceeded expectations.

Everyone in the SEC has lost at least once — it's the first time that's been the case this early in the season since 2007, and you know how much I love 2007 references — and the best unbeaten team, Oregon, ranks just fifth in SP+ and eighth in FPI.

The best teams aren't producing the best résumés, and it's making the playoff race both messy and delightfully inclusive. Right now the Allstate Playoff Predictor gives Iowa State (48.1%) and Boise State (46.0%) better playoff odds than Alabama (43.5%), while BYU (41.8%) is higher than Clemson (40.3%).

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While there were no eye-popping upsets in Week 9, we saw a pair of Indiana schools outside the top 10 make a case for their inclusion in the College Football Playoff.
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For maybe the first time in the 2024 college football season, we had a week in which nothing really happened.
On paper, Week 9 didn't promise much drama. It featured only one matchup of top 15 teams — the No. 8 LSU Tigers facing the No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies. But chaos has reigned through the first eight weeks of the season.
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The annual game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Navy Midshipmen has always been symbolic but this year it appears significant to the College Football Playoff picture. The Fighting Irish (6-1), ranked No. 12 in the Week 9 AP Top 25 Poll likely can't afford another loss if they want to make the postseason, meanwhile the No. 24 Midshipmen (6-0) are undefeated looking to secure its first 7-0 start since 1978.

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