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Chelsea have been given a 10% chance of retaining their Champions League crown this season, the third highest of the English clubs remaining in the competition.

Manchester City are most likely to win the tournament with Pep Guardiola's men given a 25% chance while Bayern Munich and Liverpool follow close behind on 20% and 15% respectively.

The prediction comes from FiveThirtyEight and uses a range of match data to predict the outcomes of football competitions from around the world.

Thomas Tuchel's side face Lille in the last-16 of the competition after finishing second to Juventus in their group. But only four other teams have a better chance of winning the competition according to the latest data.

The Bianconeri have been given less than a 1% chance of winning the tournament.

Quality of opposition will have also been taken into account. Because the Blues will face Lille, they have been