Bills-Broncos: NFL betting odds, picks, tips - ESPN

Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season wraps up Monday night with the Buffalo Bills (5-4) hosting the Denver Broncos (3-5).

What can we expect from a betting standpoint?

Betting analysts Eric Moody,Seth Walder, Tyler Fulghum and Aaron Schatz are here to provide their thoughts.

Note: Odds by ESPN BET.

Schatz: I'm not particularly concerned with whether the Bills have won games at home or on the road. In general, home-field advantage is the same for everyone over the long run and little trends like that don't mean much. What matters is that the Bills are a better team than their record indicates. Yes, their defense has really declined and has been the worst in the league over the past five games. But their offense has only dropped to third in defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) over the past five games. It looks worse because of poor fumble timing and the need to complete longer drives to make up for the problems of defense leading to worse field position. I do think the defense can be better, even without its stars; and if the Bills' defense is just below average instead of the worst in the league, this should still be a top team. So despite the improvement of the Broncos' defense in recent weeks, I feel comfortable going with Bills -7.

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Fulghum: It factors into my handicap significantly. Buffalo is a very trustworthy team when it is playing at home. I like the Bills -7. I don't think Denver is the type of team that can give the Bills trouble. The Broncos' defense has been lackluster all season.