Betting tips for NBA playoffs - Celtics-Bucks, Warriors-Grizzlies Game 4s

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Hold Off On Horford: Al Horford has found the fountain of youth this postseason. He tallied 22 points, 16 rebounds, and 5 assists against the Bucks Saturday and cashed just about all of his props. But should you go back to the well? He has averaged 13.9 points and 9.6 rebounds this postseason, numbers that are reflected in his DFS price tag and prop market. However, he's shooting 50% from 3-point range with the majority of his shots coming from deep. That is impressive, but not exactly sustainable. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown accounted for 73.8% of the points from Celtics' starters and 65.5% of their shots, following Boston's first loss in the series. That leaves little meat on the bone for Horford, considering he has averaged one free throw attempt every 40 minutes this postseason. His scoring floor is lower than the prop markets suggest.

Taking the under: There were 254 points scored in Game 3 between the Grizzlies and Warriors. With Gary Payton II sidelined, the Warriors' defensive efficiency was 3.6% better than in their first seven games this postseason. That's not to suggest that they are better without Payton, but their game plan was clear: stop everyone not named Ja Morant. The Grizzlies star made 13-of-21 shots while his teammates shot just 27-of-71 (38%), making it logical to assume the Warriors employ a similar strategy tonight. While Memphis welcomes back Dillon Brooks, counting on volume from anyone except Morant is dangerous. Golden State should be able to limit the efficiency of the Grizzlies' supporting pieces. Fourteen of Golden State's 17 best games in terms of defensive efficiency came in front of their home crowd. So you should take the under on any of