If I'm placing bets on a weekend, I'm not looking at full game spreads or totals. Those are efficient markets that have been bet into all week.
Instead, I'm looking for the obscure. It's my specialty, anyway. It's what I build statistical models around to try to find an edge.
If there's an advantage to be found now, it's in small markets. So come along for the ride and see how we fare diving deep into some last-minute Super Bowl props.
Odds by ESPN BET. This is the «field» option, so we're betting on it being something other than: holding (+275), false start (+325), offside/encroachment/neutral zone infraction (+325), defensive pass interference (+800), delay of game (+1500), offensive pass interference (+2000) or no accepted penalties (+5000).