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2024 NFL season sim: Predictions, surprises, playoff teams - ESPN

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My usual job is to write about NFL football in terms of probabilities. But today is my annual departure from that, as we're focusing on our single simulation of the 2024 NFL season.

Pure results, total certainty. To form its projections of the season, ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) simulates the full slate of games 20,000 times.

But in this exercise, we picked out only one of those simulations to represent a single possible scenario for how things could unfold.

After all, life is a single sim. And today, that's FPI simulation No. 515. Here are the major storylines from that one simulation, including surprise playoff teams, draft order drama, tight division races and a Super Bowl champion.

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