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2023 NFL Week 11 games: Betting odds, lines, spreads, more - ESPN

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Week 11 features the highly-anticipated Super Bowl rematch pitting the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football.

The Chiefs opened as 2 1/2-point favorites and the 47.5 total is tied for the second-highest of the week. There are 13 other games to be played first, beginning with an AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens on Thursday, while the other prime time tilt of the week will feature the Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos on Sunday night.

Football Power Index (FPI) by ESPN Sports Analytics Group. Odds by ESPN BET. Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens -3.5M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore Thursday 8:15 p.m.

ET Money Line: Cincinnati Bengals (+160); Baltimore Ravens (-190)Total: 44.5 (fifth highest of the week)FPI favorite: Ravens by 5.1 (64.9% to win outright) Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns -4Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland Sunday 1 p.m.

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If I'm placing bets on a Sunday, I'm not looking at full game spreads or totals. Those are efficient markets that have been bet into all week. Instead, I'm looking for the obscure. It's my specialty anyway. It's what I build statistical models around to try to find an edge. If there's an advantage to be found now, it's in small markets.
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