Week 7 NFL preview, best bets, analysis, game picks and props - ESPN

Value is value, no matter where — or how — you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space: find betting value.

Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets, focusing mainly on defense. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league. Also included are fantasy projection creator Mike Clay's top predicted anytime TD scorers for Week 7.

From spreads and money lines to totals and defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere. Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. Let's get into it.

Note: Odds by DraftKings and subject to change.

Jump to:
Bowen's favorite bets
Solak's plays | Walder's props
Clay's TD projections

Heading into Week 7 of the NFL Sunday slate, I'm going to try some different things in this space. Yes, I'll still have some game picks in here that we need to hit on, but I'll also move around the league a little more. Spreads, totals, props, etc. — with the same analysis based on the numbers and the game tape. Plus, I'll have more bets to play.

We'll start in Detroit, where I see two offenses with explosive-play ability — playing indoors and on a really fast track — pushing past the total.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
4:25 p.m. ET on Fox, Ford Field, Detroit

Total points OVER 53.5 (-110)

Let's see if the Lions made some defensive adjustments over the bye week (such as playing less man coverage). This unit has given up