Week 15 betting: Why Drake Maye, Lamar Jackson could hit passing overs - ESPN

Value is value, no matter where — or how — you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space — find value.

Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league.

These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type. From spreads and money lines to totals or even defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere.

Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet.

With that, let's dive in to Week 15.

Note: Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook. Defensive prop bets will be added as they become available.

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Game bets | Defensive props | Offensive props

Cincinnati Bengals (+124) vs. Baltimore Ravens

Solak: In division rematches, I often default to the team that lost the previous matchup (in this case, the Ravens) winning the following game. Doubly so when the loss was a little silly, as the Ravens turned the ball over five times in their 32-14 Thanksgiving Day loss to the Bengals.

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But this is just not a good matchup for Baltimore. Since Week 9, the Ravens' defense is first in EPA per designed run but 14th in EPA per dropback. The Bengals want to be a heavy dropback team anyway. Tee Higgins might be out as he has been in the concussion protocol, but the Ravens have never had a good answer for Ja'Marr Chase,