Week 14 NFL picks - Betting props, picks, teasers and parlays - ESPN

Welcome to Week 14. We have exactly one spread within a field goal this week, as the Arizona Cardinals are 2.5-point favorites at home against the Seattle Seahawks in a game that could go along way in determining the fate of the NFC West. I don't have a lean on the side there, though I do like the total.

With six teams on a bye and a few matchups that looked stellar in the preseason but ended up being total duds (looking at you, Bengals and Cowboys), it's a bit of a quieter week. But that just means we can make money betting on Aidan O'Connell. What a treat.

Below are my 10 favorite plays for the upcoming weekend of NFL football.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

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Seahawks at Cardinals UNDER 44.5 total points (-110)

Tyler Fulghum explains why he is taking the under in the Seahawks-Cardinals Week 14 matchup.

These teams played a 16-6 game just two weeks ago, with seven of the 22 total points the product of a Coby Bryant pick-six. For the Cardinals, that game was their worst on offense all season by both success rate and expected points added; for Seattle, it was more of an average day. But the Seahawks continue to be one of the worst teams in football in short-yardage situations (second-worst conversion rate on third/fourth and first) and in the red zone (third worst in scoring rate on red zone possessions), so they aren't any good at turning that decent offensive production into sustained drives and points.

The Cardinals are a tough defense for the Seahawks to face. They keep everything in front, make a lot of tackles and force you to build long drives. And for a team as mistake-riddled as Seattle, it's easy for the Seahawks to get behind the