NFL odds, best bets: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers - ESPN
This was supposed to be the Micah Parsons revenge game. Instead, we'll have to settle for Kenny Clark and Rashan Gary. The Packers and the Cowboys face off in a season-defining game for both squads, as the 2-3 Cowboys still have a great shot of winning the NFC East and the 3-2 Packers need to stay apace in a furious NFC North.
The Packers' pass protection issues that defined their first few weeks of the season have seemingly been healed — Love has faced only a 33% pressure rate over the past two games, whereas it was 42% in the first three contests. More and more play-action has helped slow down the pass rush and create opportunities for big downfield throws. Expect to see Love attack a banged-up safety group in Dallas, though the debut game of a fully available Joey Porter Jr. might change the Cowboys' defense some.
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When Dallas has the football, watch quarterback Dak Prescott against the blitz. The Packers are blitzing at a 33% clip — the highest a Jonathan Gannon-led defense has ever hit — but Prescott tends to shred the blitz. He's 10th in success rate and in completion percentage against the blitz, and Dallas' line (with the return of Tyler Smith from IR) is as good as any group.
The Packers have played only two non-backup QBs through five weeks — Geno Smith in the rain and Michael Penix Jr. in a game the Falcons dominated on offense. This will be, by far, the biggest test for the Packers' pass defense.
The total at 53.5 is tied for the highest of the day but deservedly so. The Packers score in flurries with their big passing offense — and when they don't convert, they punt quick. With two extremely high pass rates — the


