NFL betting odds, picks, tips - Is Dallas' home field too much for Green Bay? - ESPN

What is worth betting in the wild-card round of the NFL playoffs? And what are the best plays to help you make smart wagering decisions?

Betting analysts Eric Moody, Tyler Fulghum, Daniel Dopp, Seth Walder andAaron Schatz are here to provide their thoughts.

Note: Odds by ESPN BET.

Schatz: If you're asking which team I trust the most to win outright, the answer is the Buffalo Bills. The Bills are third in weighted DVOA, and they are taking on a Pittsburgh team that will take the field without its best player, T.J. Watt. I don't believe in Mason Rudolph in the long run; it's not like the Steelers suddenly discovered a good quarterback sitting at third on the depth chart after four poor years in the NFL. But I don't necessarily trust the Bills against the spread, especially with the cold and wind expected in Buffalo. There's a good chance that will keep the game low-scoring and close.

Moody: I trust the Rams (+3.0) to cover the spread against the Lions. This is a matchup that Los Angeles could outright win. Over the past three games, the Lions defense has allowed 407.3 total yards per game, the fourth most in the league. It's not ideal for Detroit entering the playoffs. It also doesn't help the Lions that Sam LaPorta and Kalif Raymond are dealing with injuries. The Rams' offense ranks seventh with 359.3 total yards per game. Matthew Stafford is in sync with Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, which is suboptimal for the Lions' secondary. With all of these factors, along with Stafford facing his former team and coach Sean McVay facing his former starting quarterback, I'm backing the Rams.

Dopp: The Dallas Cowboys draw the Green Bay Packers in the wild-card round, and there is a lot to like about Dallas. The Cowboys have outscored