Most likely upsets in March Madness: Watch out for these four Cinderella teams

It's what makes the NCAA Tournament the best postseason in all of American sports. It's where David can beat Goliath, where the unthinkable becomes reality, and where a kid can become a household name with one shot or performance.

A Cinderella story in sports is found almost every year in college basketball, with a double-digit seed captivating the country with a shocking victory or run. Whether it's George Mason in 2006 or VCU going from the First Four to the Final Four in 2011, to Saint Peter's knocking off Kentucky in the opening round and flying to the Elite Eight or UMBC and FDU making history as the first 16-seeds to beat a 1-seed, Thursday and Friday are two of the very best days on the sports calendar because you really do not know what or who the story is going to be by the end of the day. 

Before we analyze some Cinderella candidates, how about some research from our FOX Sports team? Since 2018, here are the records for Round of 64 matchups in the NCAA Tournament. 

1 vs. 16: 1-seed is 22-2
2 vs. 15: 2-seed is 21-3 
3 vs. 14: 3-seed is 22-2
4 vs. 13: 4-seed is 17-7
5 vs. 12: 5-seed is 16-8
6 vs. 11: Even at 12-12
7 vs. 10: 7-seed is 14-9
8 vs. 9: 8-seed is 8-16

The two main takeaways: The 11-seeds, which are VCU, Drake, North Carolina and the winner of Xavier/Texas, are dangerous. I am buying the Bulldogs to pull off an upset victory over 6-seed Missouri behind Bennett Stirtz and a top-50 defense. While I don't have VCU pulling off an upset against BYU, I think there's a very real chance we see the 6/11 games evened up again. Ole Miss will meet UNC in the first round, and the Tar Heels should present some challenges for a Rebels squad that has lost five of its last eight games. And then there's Illinois, a program