College Football Playoff 2024 - Week 7 bubble watch - ESPN

Week 6 in college football was bananas.

It was the first time since 2016 that five of the top 11 teams ranked in the Associated Press poll lost on the same day. And it was the first time — ever — that multiple top-five SEC teams lost against unranked opponents.

So what does it all mean?

The 13 members of the College Football Playoff selection committee have bad losses and teams with multiple losses to consider — and the picture will keep changing. One thing that won't change: Alabama beat Georgia on Sept. 28. It's unlikely the committee would ignore that head-to-head result, even after the Crimson Tide's ugly loss at Vanderbilt. The tiebreaker was accounted for in this week's projection.

This is a snapshot of what the committee might do Tuesday — through six weeks of data. This is not a ranking. This is what the seeding and bracket could look like based on the committee's projected top 12 for this week — plus a glance at eight more teams that can play their way in and how the Group of 5 race stacks up.

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Byes | First-round matchups
First four out | Next four out
Group of 5

First-round byes

Note: Seeding is based on my projected top 12 from the CFP committee.

No. 1 seed Texas Longhorns: The Longhorns moved into the top spot following Alabama's loss to Vanderbilt on Saturday, earning the No. 1 seed as the SEC champion and the highest-ranked conference champion. This is also based on Texas potentially being the committee's No. 1 team overall on Selection Day. According to the Allstate Playoff Predictor, Texas has a 91% chance to reach the CFP and a 23% shot to win the national title.

No. 2 seed Ohio State Buckeyes: The Buckeyes would earn the No. 2 seed as the projected Big Ten champs and the second-ranked