College football bowl projections -- Matchups for playoff, New Year's Six

Week 3 of the college football season brought a major flex by the top teams, with Georgia, Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan, USC and Clemson all rolling to decisive routs. Other results, including losses by Michigan State, Miami and BYU, will be felt in the New Year's Six games and the bowl matchups further down the pecking order.

ESPN college football reporters Kyle Bonagura and Mark Schlabach return with their latest projections for all the games, including their analysis of the CFP picture and which teams helped and hurt their causes the most over the weekend.

All times Eastern

CFP National Championship Presented by AT&TSoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California) Jan. 9, Time TBD, ESPN and the ESPN AppBonagura: Alabama vs. GeorgiaSchlabach: Ohio State vs. Georgia

CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach BowlMercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta) Dec. 31, 4 or 8 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN AppBonagura: Georgia vs. USCSchlabach: Georgia vs. USC

CFP Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta BowlState Farm Stadium (Glendale, Arizona) Dec. 31, 4 or 8 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN AppBonagura: Ohio State vs. AlabamaSchlabach: Ohio State vs. Alabama

CFP breakdown

Bonagura: The only team in the AP top 10 that didn't win convincingly was No. 10 Arkansas, which isn't exactly a formula for shaking up the CFP picture. There are two main questions to consider: (1) Ohio State or Michigan? (2) Who is No. 4?

Michigan has played three bad teams (Colorado State, Hawai'i and UConn), so while scoring 50-plus in each game catches the eye, it's too early to have a great sense of how that will translate when the degree of difficulty levels up. Picking Michigan ahead of Ohio State is defensible, but we'll stick with Ohio State for at least another week (the most likely scenario is