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Betting: Why we like Jeanty to beat projections but Cowboys to prevail - ESPN

Week 11 of the NFL season wraps up with the Dallas Cowboys hitting the road to take on the Las Vegas Raiders on «Monday Night Football.»

The Cowboys (3-5-1) are coming off an ugly loss at home to the Arizona Cardinals and have lost two straight overall. The Raiders hung tough with the Denver Broncos in Week 10 before suffering their third straight defeat to drop them to 2-7 on the season.

The teams haven't faced each other in the regular season since 2021.

The Cowboys are favored by a 3.5 on Monday in a game that has the highest total points over/under of the week (50.5).

Matt Bowen, Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado, Ben Solak and Seth Walder offer their picks, prop plays and analysis to help you bet the game.

Note: Odds at time of publication. For the latest updates, visit ESPN BET.

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Game picks | Prop bets | Betting trends

Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders

Total points UNDER 50.5 (-115)

Maldonado: This is a high total for what these offenses are capable of right now. The Cowboys play fast and can put up points, but their games inflate because the other team usually brings firepower. Las Vegas doesn't. The Raiders are bottom of the league in scoring, and now their structure is even more fragile with a banged-up quarterback, a depleted offensive line and a run game that's generating almost no yards before contact. Dallas is volatile enough to stall drives or trade possessions. Since the Raiders' best chance is by slowing the game down, shortening drives, that points to an under rather than a shootout.

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Field Yates details why he has high expectations for Dak Prescott heading into Week 11 vs. the Raiders.

Ashton Jeanty to go OVER 64.5 yards rushing (-110)

Bowen: In a matchup

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