Betting 'TNF': Why the over hits, plus players to target and DFS plays - ESPN

Week 14 of the NFL season get underway with the Detroit Lions hosting the Dallas Cowboys on «Thursday Night Football» in a game with heavy playoff implications.

The Cowboys, who have won three straight to move to 6-5-1, are +290 to make the playoffs. The 7-5 Lions have dropped three of five, including a loss last week to division rival Green Bay. The Lions are in third place in the NFC North but are +115 to make the playoffs.

Neither team is currently in playoff position, but they are the top teams on the bubble in the NFC.

Detroit is a field-goal favorite in a game that has the highest point total of the week (54.5).

Matt Bowen, Pamela Maldonado, Eric Moody, Ben Solak and Seth Walder offer their picks, prop bets, DFS plays and analysis to help you bet the game.

Note: Odds provided by DraftKings and subject to change.

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Todd Archer breaks down the Cowboys' mindset heading into their big matchup vs. the Lions.

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Dak Prescott OVER 265.5 passing yards (-112)

Maldonado: Detroit's passing defense is falling apart, allowing explosive plays at a league-worst rate and back-to-back QB1/QB2 performances in fantasy to Jameis Winston and Jordan Love. The Lions' heavy man coverage and depleted secondary creates mismatch after mismatch in favor of the Cowboys. Game script only helps. Whether the Lions lead, the Cowboys lead or the teams trade scores, Dallas leans on Prescott's arm. This is volume, matchup and environment all pointing to the same direction.

Jahmyr Gibbs UNDER 15.5 rushing attempts (-115)

Solak: The Lions are down pass-catchers in a bad way, as Sam LaPorta and Kalif Raymond are out for this game, and Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) is likely to miss it