Angela Rayner would LOSE seat to Reform with Labour suffering huge losses if election was today, poll says

Labour would lose its majority and nearly 200 of the seats it won in July if an election was held today - including that of Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, who would be beaten by Nigel Farage's Reform UK party, according to a new poll.

Other major Greater Manchester MPs who would lose their seats in the new poll are Jim McMahon in Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton, and Jonathan Reynolds in Stalybridge and Hyde. Jonathan Reynolds is the Secretary of State for Business and Trade, and President of the Board of Trade, while Jim McMahon is the Minister of State (Housing, Communities and Local Government).

There are six other seats out of 27 parliamentary constituencies in Greater Manchester that would also be lost by Labour and cross over to Reform, the poll by think tank More in Common has found. Labour seats that would swing to Reform if an election was held now include:

Bolton West, currently held by Phil Brickell, would change from Labour to Conservative.

This first major seat-by-seat analysis post-general election is a fresh political setback for Sir Keir Starmer, whose leadership of the country has been marked by turbulence.

The MRP polling from More in Common found that Labour, which secured a landslide victory in the general election, would lose 87 seats to the Conservatives, 67 to Reform UK, and 26 to the SNP. The survey data, collected from over 11,000 people for The Sunday Times, indicated a near wipe-out for Sir Keir in regions where his party made significant gains, including the West Country.

Here, many newly elected MPs have faced backlash over changes to inheritance tax rules for farmers. The party has also come under fire over gifts for the prime minister and senior cabinet ministers.

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