2025 NFL Conference Championship expert pick, best bet by Chris 'The Bear' Fallica

"Bear Bets" are real wagers that Chris "The Bear" Fallica is actually making.

The NFL playoffs are winding down, and next up is conference championship weekend.

For those new to this space, if you are looking for a few wagers to get in on the NFL action, I have you covered. Nothing makes football better than having a few bucks on the games weekly.

Last week, we won one, lost one and pushed on the other.

Let's get back on track this week.

RECORD
Last Week: 0-1-1
Season: 19-23-1

Commanders @ Eagles (1 p.m. ET, FOX and FOX Sports App)

The thing I’m most sure about this weekend is that the Eagles will score points. Even with Kenny Pickett playing a majority of the second meeting, the Eagles scored 33 points and ran for 211 yards. A lot of the high-variance numbers went Washington's way in that meeting. The Eagles were 3-for-16 on third down and the Commanders were 9-for-16 on third and fourth downs. 

Yes, the Commanders did overcome five turnovers, but that was only because of the third-down drop by DeVonta Smith, which would have salted the game away. That remains Philadelphia’s only loss in the last 15 games. The first meeting in Philadelphia was total domination by the Eagles — a 434-264 total yardage advantage, 6.2-4.2 yards per play advantage and 228 yards on the ground. And that was with Jalen Hurts likely playing some of the game with concussion symptoms after a nasty hit.

Why the Lions got away from the run when they played the Commanders last week amazed me. Detroit averaged 8.7 yards per carry on the ground but got done in by four interceptions and five total touchdowns.  

This feels like a game that either the Commanders win outright or Philadelphia wins comfortably. I just don't know for sure