This will be our first group of props and bets for Sunday’s Super Bowl LIX on FOX, and I figured I would keep the theme.
No, I’m not doing this to be cute. I actually do like these plays.
And who doesn’t like instant gratification? Especially on the contrarian side!
Let's dive in.
Patrick Mahomes first rush o4.5 yards: -120 (SuperBook)
After being burned by the Mahomes Over rushing yards prop in the Super Bowl vs. San Francisco a few years ago as a result of kneel-downs, I decided this is the best way to play Mahomes and his scrambling ability.
The Kansas City offensive line hasn’t been great lately, and with the strength of the Eagles being up front, pressure will likely result in Mahomes taking off and potentially picking up big yardage on the one type of play Vic Fangio and the Eagles defense can’t really scheme for.
If interested, Mahomes first run vs. Buffalo was for four yards and his first vs. Houston went for 15.
Saquon Barkley first rush u4.5 yards: -105 (Circa)
Barkley’s 60-yard TD run on the Eagles first play from scrimmage vs. Washington is fresh on everyone’s mind, so I think there will be a good bit of recency bias from those who bet this prop, and a majority of the bets will be on the Over.
Yes, he also had a 16 yard gain on his first carry against Green Bay, but I’d expect the Chiefs to load up against the run and force Jalen Hurts to beat them. Barkley has been boom or bust in the postseason, with a single carry or two accounting for a healthy chunk of his yardage total.
Here’s hoping he doesn’t go boom on carry No. 1. In Spags we trust.
A.J. Brown first reception u11.5 yards: -110 (Circa)
Devonta Smith first reception u9.5 yards: -110 (SuperBook)
If you examine the Eagles pass game
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