2023 NBA Finals - Odds, picks, betting tips for Heat-Nuggets Game 4 - ESPN

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data, featuring ESPN's proprietary Basketball Power Index (BPI) to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for Game 4 are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

The Denver Nuggets reclaimed home-court advantage thanks to a tandem of triple-double performances in a pivotal Game 3 earlier this week. The Miami Heat were simply overwhelmed on the glass and in the paint defensively, a trend to watch for what bodes to be an important fourth game in the series on Friday.

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Speaking of dominance in the paint, Nikola Jokic collected an absurd 18 defensive rebounds in Game 3, just five fewer than Miami's entire roster. It's hard to imagine fading Jokic in DFS lineups, while his rebounding prop also seems achievable given how this matchup has unfolded. The timely shot-making from Jamal Murray also drives value, with his assist props seeming attractive given how much creation he's been asked to handle.

In yet another Finals preview we highlight the continued brilliance of Bam Adebayo. As we discussed earlier in this series, the Nuggets appear content to see Adebayo consume possession in a similar fashion to their strategy versus Anthony Davis. Simply put, there's not much stopping Adebayo from consuming shots and cleaning the boards in what continues to be a plus matchup. My model rates Jimmy Butler, just behind Jokic, as the second-best value for this contest. With their backs against the wall, Miami's resolve will be on