If I'm placing bets on an NFL weekend, I'm not looking at full game spreads or totals. Those are efficient markets that have been bet into all week.
Instead, I'm looking for the obscure. It's my specialty, anyway. It's what I build statistical models around to try to find an edge.
If there's an advantage to be found now, it's in small markets. So come along for the ride and see how we fare diving deep into Sunday props.
Results from last week and the 2023 season are at the bottom of the story. Odds via ESPN BET. Patrick Mahomes under 24.5 completions (+100).
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