Talladega Superspeedway is known for shaking up the playoffs. But how well deserved is that reputation? Playoff drivers usually view the first race in the second round of the playoffs as the best chance to earn points, earn stage points and maybe even a win given that Talladega is the second race.
Now that Texas is in the rear-view mirror, let’s turn our data analysis tools to Talladega. Determining how much one race shuffles the playoffs standings requires a simple metric that is applicable to all the years NASCAR has had stages and playoffs.
In a rare point of consistency, Talladega has remained the 31st race of the season since 2017, when stage racing started. After trying a couple different approaches, I finally settled on playoff rankings.
These rankings are a zero-sum game. For each driver who moves up a position, another driver must move down. The first graph is playoff ranking as a function of race for the second playoff segment of 2021.