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Bills-Broncos: NFL betting odds, picks, tips - ESPN

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Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season wraps up Monday night with the Buffalo Bills (5-4) hosting the Denver Broncos (3-5). What can we expect from a betting standpoint?

Betting analysts Eric Moody,Seth Walder, Tyler Fulghum and Aaron Schatz are here to provide their thoughts.

Note: Odds by ESPN BET. Schatz: I'm not particularly concerned with whether the Bills have won games at home or on the road.

In general, home-field advantage is the same for everyone over the long run and little trends like that don't mean much. What matters is that the Bills are a better team than their record indicates.

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If I'm placing bets on a Sunday, I'm not looking at full game spreads or totals. Those are efficient markets that have been bet into all week. Instead, I'm looking for the obscure. It's my specialty anyway. It's what I build statistical models around to try to find an edge. If there's an advantage to be found now, it's in small markets.
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If I'm placing bets on a Sunday, I'm not looking at full game spreads or totals. Those are efficient markets that have been bet into all week. Instead, I'm looking for the obscure. It's my specialty anyway. It's what I build statistical models around to try to find an edge. If there's an advantage to be found now, it's in small markets.
We're in the post-Thanksgiving stretch run of the 2023 NFL season and we're sure you are fully prepared for the loaded Week 12 slate. But just in case you need last-minute intel, our NFL analysts have you covered at the eleventh hour.

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