Why we were wrong on the Chiefs, Colts, Jaguars, Bills - ESPN

If you're sure about anything in the NFL, just wait a few weeks. Heck, if you were sure about anything from Week 7's Giants-Broncos game, waiting a few minutes seemed to work just as well.

After six months of waiting for the NFL to return over the offseason, what we see in the first few weeks of action feels stickier and more meaningful than anything else, and we form opinions quickly.

Of course, we should know that what happens in September doesn't always mean very much by the time we get to the postseason. Patrick Mahomes looking like a superstar in the first few weeks of the 2018 season? Important. The Eagles hitting their bye at 2-2 a year ago after losing to the Kirk Cousins-led Falcons and getting blown out by the Bucs? Nope. Philly casually went 16-1 the rest of the way, winning by an average of nearly two touchdowns per contest.

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Everyone has their opinions and feelings about what we saw over the first month of the 2025 season. How many of those thoughts actually ring true as we hit the middle of October? Some things that seemed obvious or significant have faded into the September void, while other opinions only feel like they've solidified.

Today, let's run through four of those September thoughts and see how Week 7 impacted what we knew — or thought we knew — about some of the NFL's most interesting teams.

Jump to a September take:
The Chiefs' offense was broken
The Jaguars' defense could support the offense
The Colts' offense would regress
The Bills would have a clear path in the AFC

What we said in September: «This offense is broken.»

Well, it was. The Chiefs looked like a mess through their 0-2 start, and while they got their season back on track with a 22-9 victory over