Week 8 NFL picks - Will Cowboys step up against 49ers? Can Jets get it together? - ESPN

Week 8 is a bit of a gross week. There are 16 games, yet we don't have a total above 50, and six of the games have a spread of a touchdown or larger. Feels like a good week to build a 16-team moneyline parlay and chase the screenshot. (That is not betting advice. Don't do that.)

I have three key games to watch this week, with a game-level bet for each (side or total), as well as a prop for each — and a few more lines and props I'm targeting that you'll find at the bottom of the page.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

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Week 7 recap | Jets-Patriots | Cowboys-49ers | Titans-Lions | Quick hits and SGP

A small positive week, making three of the last four weeks winners. If we only bet London games, we'd never lose again.

Slowly but surely, we're up out of our early season hole.

Week 7: 6-5 (+0.88 units)

Overall: 34-41 (-5.04u)
Spread: 5-7 (-2.44u)
Total: 8-9 (-1.8u)
Props: 21-18 (+0.6u)
Same-game parlay: 0-7 (-1.4u)

Tyler Fulghum breaks down why this tight divisional matchup between the Jets and Patriots could go under the projected point total.

It's Week 8, and we already have some divisional rematches! The Patriots and Jets played a very forgettable Thursday night game in Week 3. Aaron Rodgers was 27 for 35 for 281 yards and two scores in what was certainly his best performance this season. The Jets sliced and diced their way through a Patriots defense that, at the time, had been stout. But that game was the beginning of the end for the Pats defense.

As mentioned last week, the Patriots defense isn't what it used to be. Last year, this unit had Matthew Judon, Christian Barmore, Ja'Whaun Bentley and Jabrill Peppers. All are absent from this year's group. Besides cornerback Christian