Week 10 NFL picks - Lions keep winning, 49ers offense gets big boost - ESPN

Welcome to Week 10! It's not the most thrilling week of NFL football, unfortunately, with the only three games with spreads within a field goal between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Washington Commanders, Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams, and New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals.

We've got five road underdogs of at least four points. The only divisional matchups feature Bo Nix, Cooper Rush and Darren Rizzi. (Rizzi is the interim head coach of the New Orleans Saints, which you were not expected to know.)

I have three key games to watch this week, with a game-level bet for each (side or total), as well as a prop for each — and a few more lines and props I'm targeting that you'll find at the bottom of the page.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

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Week 9 recap | Jets-Cardinals | Lions-Texans | 49ers-Buccaneers | Quick hits and SGP

With another winning week, we've now won more weeks (5) than we've lost (4) — just don't look at the season-long numbers. We broke well last week with Cooper Kupp benefiting from Puka Nacua's early exit and the Detroit Lions snagging a first-half pick-six to send us over. Can't complain about the bad breaks when you don't highlight the friendly ones!

Week 9: 6-5 (+1.11 units)

Overall: 43-53-1 (-8.51u)
Spread: 5-9 (-4.44u)
Total: 10-11 (-2.16u)
Props: 27-24 (-0.02u)
Same-game parlay: 0-9 (-1.8u)

Tyler Fulghum explains why he is leaning towards the Jets in their road matchup with the Cardinals in Week 10.

One week after winning as a home favorite against the 6-2 Texans, the Jets are now road favorites against the 5-4 Cardinals, winners of three straight. What faith in the Jets!

Lest we forget, the Jets went into the half against the Texans down 7-0. They scored 21