Week 6 betting: Bengals-Packers points to high scoring, overs on player props - ESPN

Value is value, no matter where — or how — you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space — find value.

Ben Solak is out this week, so Matt Bowen is filling in with his own unique style.

Bowen and Seth Walder bring different perspectives to how they approach sports betting. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets.

These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type. From spreads and money lines to totals or even defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere.

Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet.

With that, let's dive into Week 6. As always, odds are from ESPN BET Sportsbook.

Note: Defensive prop bets will be added as they become available.

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Game bets | Offensive props

Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers to go OVER 44.5 (-115)

Let's start with Green Bay's offense, a unit averaging 26.0 PPG (ninth in the league). There will be opportunities for quarterback Jordan Love to attack a Cincinnati defense allowing 31.2 PPG (30th). Green Bay can score Sunday, and the arrival of quarterback Joe Flacco does sightly raise the floor of the Bengals' passing game. Flacco will have some negative plays, and his mobility has declined, but he can still rip the ball to all three levels of the field. Take the over at Lambeau. — Bowen

Denver Broncos at New York Jets first half UNDER 21.5 (-115)

I'm not buying these international games. The tempo is sluggish. The play execution is choppy. Through five games, the Jets have failed to establish an offensive identity, while the