Week 15 NFL picks - Betting props, picks, teasers and parlays - ESPN

Welcome to Week 15. There are no more byes the rest of the way, so make sure the fridge is full and the seat is cozy when you plop down this Sunday — you're not going to want to get up from seven games in the early window and five in the late window (four of which are excellent matchups with big playoff implications).

Below are my favorite bets for the upcoming weekend of NFL action, with a teaser and same-game parlay to boot.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

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Game picks | Props | Teaser and SGP

Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 43.5 total points (-120)

Domonique Foxworth, Dan Graziano and Jeff Saturday discuss A.J. Brown's comments and whether the Eagles' season is starting to unravel.

We are buying the point here to get above 43, the most valuable number on NFL totals. This is a line worth watching and shopping, especially if there's an early score in this game during live betting (unlikely, in that these are two of the worst first-quarter scoring teams in football, but you never know!).

I've been unimpressed by the Eagles' scoring output the past couple of weeks, as they didn't have success throwing against bad pass defenses in Baltimore and Carolina and are now contending with locker room frustrations over the issues through the air. Pittsburgh is a tough defense to face when needing a get-right passing opportunity; the Steelers are third in opposing expected points added (EPA) per dropback, behind only the Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos, and fourth in EPA per play overall.

That's especially significant for the Eagles, who have faced only two above-average defenses this season by EPA per play (Green Bay Packers, ninth; New Orleans Saints, 16th — which barely