Value is value, no matter where — or how — you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space — find value.
Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league.
These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type. From spreads and money lines to totals or even defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere.
Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet.
With that, let's dive in to Week 10. Odds are from ESPN BET Sportsbook.
Note: Defensive prop bets will be added as they become available.
Jump to:
Game bets | Defensive props | Offensive props
San Francisco 49ers to cover +4.5 (-105) vs. Los Angeles Rams
Bowen: I'll take the 49ers and the points at home. Back in Week 5, coach Kyle Shanahan had passing game answers for the Rams' defense, as Mac Jones threw for 342 yards. Whether we see Jones again or the return of Brock Purdy (toe), I'm confident in Shanahan's ability to scheme up the Rams' split-safety coverages. And that L.A. defense will see an upgraded San Francisco run game this time around with tight end George Kittle on the field.
Baltimore Ravens to cover -4.5 (-105) at Vikings
Solak: We're not getting the best of this line, as it moved across -4 over the course of this week. So long as we can get it before -5, I think there's still value.
I wrote last week that we might not have much
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