The Playbook - Your ultimate fantasy football and props betting guide for Super Bowl LVI

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Playbook — Super Bowl Player Props Edition!

This will be your guide to for this week's Super Bowl LVI matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals, featuring score projections, over/unders, win probabilities and, of course, player prop picks and analysis. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start decisions and lineup choices for DFS and playoff leagues.

For a closer look at this week's top WR vs. CB matchups, check out this week's shadow report cheat sheet.

Over/Under: 45.3Win probability: Rams 62%

Super Bowl LVI features a showdown between the 15-5 Rams and 13-7 Bengals. The game will be played at the Rams' home field — SoFi Stadium — though the Bengals are the home team for record-keeping purposes.

When the Rams have the ball:

Los Angeles operates a balanced offense in most categories, slotting near midpack in pace (40.3 seconds), drives per game (5.9) and pass rate (60.2%). Coach and playcaller Sean McVay called one of the league's pass-heaviest offenses during the first half of the season, but he has settled into a balanced attack since the Week 11 bye. Overall, the offense has been effective, as it's ninth in EPA per drive (0.47) and sixth in touchdowns (3.0 per game). McVay leaned heavily on the run near the goal line during the Jared Goff era, but that has changed drastically with Matthew Stafford under center. The Rams have scored a league-high 80% of their touchdowns through the air.

Los Angeles' offensive scheme is built on «11» personnel. The Rams have had three or more receivers on the field an NFL-high 86% of the time, aligning in «11» (3 WRs, 1 RB, 1 TE) a league-high 85% of the time. The Rams rarely substitute out their