Projecting the College Football Playoff top 12 after Week 11 - ESPN

Following the first College Football Playoff rankings of the season, selection committee chair Mack Rhoades wanted to make sure reporters understood the most integral part of the ranking process.

«We've watched the games,» he said on the weekly teleconference. «Let me repeat that; we watch the games.»

That won't make it easier to decide who should be No. 2 on Tuesday night: Indiana, which escaped a 3-6 Penn State team, or Texas A&M, which soundly beat a CFP top-25 team in Mizzou. A deeper dive into the statistics and résumés of both undefeated teams — plus the context of why the group ranked them No. 2 and No. 3, respectively, last week — will factor into their discussions. It might be a bigger debate than how far No. 7 BYU should fall this week after a 29-7 loss to No. 8 Texas Tech.

Here's a prediction of what the selection committee will do when it reveals its second of six rankings Tuesday night (7 ET, ESPN).

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Why they could be here: Ohio State earned its fourth Big Ten road win of the season Saturday, albeit against a 2-8 Purdue team that hasn't won since Sept. 6 against Southern Illinois. The Buckeyes entered Saturday ranked No. 33 in strength of schedule, according to ESPN Analytics, but No. 1 in game control and No. 3 in strength of record. «So it was certainly close [between Ohio State, Indiana and Texas A&M], but when we looked at film, and we're blessed to have committee members and coaches that do a lot of film work, we just felt like Ohio State had a slight edge when we think about offensive line play and then a slight edge defensively,» Rhoades said after the first ranking release Tuesday. «That was really the outcome. Ohio State has some, I'm going to call them explosive players,