NFL Week 5 predictions, fantasy sleepers, upset picks, buzz - ESPN

We're headed into Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season, and we're sure you are fully prepared for the loaded slate. But just in case you need some last-minute intel, our NFL analysts have you covered at the 11th hour.

First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down five stat trends that could be pivotal this weekend. Fantasy football writer Eric Moody runs through five players who are rostered in fewer than 50% of ESPN fantasy football leagues as of Saturday who could be picked up and started in a jam this weekend. That's followed by NFL analyst Matt Bowen pointing to five potential surprises that could happen and NFL analyst Ben Solak picking out one team on upset watch. Finally, insider Jeremy Fowler gives the latest buzz, rumors and news you might have missed.

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Stat trends | Fantasy sleepers
Potential surprises | Upset watch
Latest buzz

Can the Chiefs still rely on Travis Kelce to produce, especially with Rashee Rice out?

At age 34, Kelce had managed only 69 receiving yards through three games this season. But he finally broke out in Week 4 with 89 yards on seven receptions. With Rice now injured, the Chiefs will need more from Kelce (who turns 35 Saturday) than a sporadic big game here or there. Can they get it against the Saints in Week 5 and going forward? The advanced metrics suggest the answer is yes.

Most critically, Kelce has maintained his ability to get open. He has a 72 open score via ESPN's receiver scores, which is exactly the same as what he posted last season. That's a slight downtick from the 78 he recorded in 2021 and 2022, but it shows Kelce has maintained his separation ability even if it hasn't resulted in a ton of yardage. After all, open score is based on all routes — regardless of whether