NFL Week 11 predictions, fantasy sleepers, upset picks, buzz - ESPN

We're headed into Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season and we're sure you are fully prepared for the loaded slate. But just in case you need some last-minute intel, our NFL analysts have you covered at the 11th hour.

First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down five stat trends that could be pivotal this weekend. Fantasy football writer Eric Moody runs through five players who are rostered in under 50% of ESPN fantasy football leagues as of Saturday and who could be picked up and started in a jam this weekend. That's followed by NFL analyst Matt Bowen pointing to five potential surprises and NFL analyst Ben Solak picking one team on upset watch. Finally, insider Jeremy Fowler gives the latest buzz, rumors and news you might have missed.

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Stat trends | Fantasy sleepers
Potential surprises | Upset watch
Latest buzz

Could Khalil Shakir YAC his way to a big game against the Chiefs?

The Chiefs' defense is tough to get past, but 53% of the receiving yards they allow come after the catch — the sixth-highest rate in the league. That could be good news for Shakir, who has the second-most yards after the catch (YAC) of all wideouts this season (407).

He gets those extra yards for two reasons. First, looking at the 11 route types that lead to the highest percentage of yards after the catch — including screens, drags, flats and hitches — Shakir runs them at the highest rate in the league. Second, he has a 72 YAC score, per ESPN's receiver scores, meaning he generates more YAC than expected based on the situation at the time of reception. It could be a useful recipe against the Chiefs.

Can the Chiefs lean on another big receiving game from Kareem Hunt?

They might have to. Among outside cornerbacks with at least 150