NFL Week 10 predictions, fantasy sleepers, upset picks, buzz - ESPN

We're headed into Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season and we're sure you are fully prepared for the loaded slate. But just in case you need some last-minute intel, our NFL analysts have you covered at the 11th hour.

First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down five stat trends that could be pivotal this weekend. Fantasy football writer Eric Moody runs through five players who are rostered in under 50% of ESPN fantasy football leagues as of Saturday and who could be picked up and started in a jam this weekend. That's followed by NFL analyst Matt Bowen pointing to five potential surprises and NFL analyst Ben Solak picking one team on upset watch. Finally, insider Jeremy Fowler gives the latest buzz, rumors and news you might have missed.

Jump to a topic:
Stat trends | Fantasy sleepers
Potential surprises | Upset watch
Latest buzz

Can the Dolphins stop the Rams' duo runs?

Even in a disappointing season for Miami, its run defense has generally been fine. The Dolphins rank 15th in EPA allowed per designed carry. There is one exception, though — when they face runs deploying duo, where the offensive line uses double-teams against the defensive line and the running back reads the linebackers to determine which gap to hit. On such runs, they're surrendering 5.5 yards per carry (31st in the NFL) and 0.11 EPA per carry (27th). The sample isn't huge (46 plays), so this could just be noise, but it's a pretty unideal number when you have to face the Rams.

The Rams run duo 40% of the time, per ESPN/NFL Next Gen Stats tracking, by far the most in the league (Giants are second at 31%). And things could be worse for the Dolphins if Los Angeles gets interior linemen Steve Avila (knee) and Jonah Jackson (shoulder) back from injured reserve.

Co