NFL Week 1 predictions, fantasy sleepers, stats, buzz, bets - ESPN

We're headed into the first weekend of the 2024 NFL season and we're sure you are fully prepared for the loaded slate. But just in case you need some last-minute intel, our NFL analysts have you covered at the 11th hour.

First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down five stat trends that could be pivotal this weekend. Fantasy football writer Eric Moody runs through five players who are rostered in fewer than 50% of ESPN fantasy football leagues as of Saturday who could be picked up and started in a jam this weekend. That's followed by NFL analyst Matt Bowen making five predictions about how things could play out, including some player props, and NFL analyst Ben Solak picking out one potential bet to consider. Finally, insider Jeremy Fowler gives the latest buzz, rumors and news you might have missed.

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Stat trends | Fantasy sleepers
Predictions | Intriguing bet | Latest buzz

Can Dave Canales and the Panthers unlock WR Diontae Johnson's ceiling?

When we released ESPN's receiver tracking metrics a couple of years ago, one of our first observations was that the leaderboard for open score was littered with superstars… and Johnson. In 2021, the then-Steelers wideout recorded an 87 open score (fourth highest among wide receivers). The next season he followed it up with a 99, the highest possible score. Even in a «down» 2023 season, Johnson still ranked 11th with a 78.

Is there something about the scheme and/or quarterbacks in Pittsburgh that held back his production? Will Carolina bring down Johnson's very high rate of deep fades and go routes (18% combined, ninth highest among wide receivers) to increase his efficiency? Week 1 will be a good test against a strong Saints cornerback duo of Paulson Adebo and