NFL odds, best bets: Washington Commanders at New York Giants - ESPN

The New York Giants enter Thursday night atop the NFC East, while the Washington Commanders are running out of time to turn their season around. These teams played to a 27-27 tie in Week 5, when Jayden Daniels rushed for 103 yards and two touchdowns.

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New York has won two straight games, and its defense continues to impress. The Giants rank fifth in yards allowed per game and third against the pass. Rookie linebacker Arvell Reese is coming off a dominant performance against Philadelphia, finishing with 12 tackles, three sacks and a forced fumble. Washington's offensive line could have trouble containing him, especially with center Lucas Patrick ruled out.

New York has some offensive injury concerns of its own. J.J. McCarthy briefly left last Sunday's game with a hip injury before returning, and Cam Skattebo has been dealing with a hamstring injury, though both practiced fully Wednesday.

The Giants are 2.5-point favorites and the total has dropped considerably since opening, with rain and wind potentially impacting Thursday night's game.

The Giants rank fifth in yards allowed per game and held Philadelphia to just 11 points last week. Washington has struggled to sustain drives and ranks last in third-down conversion rate. McCarthy is coming off the aforementioned hip injury, so New York could lean more heavily on its running game. These teams combined for 54 points in Week 5, so there is some risk, but I still like the under at 40.5.

Daniels is my biggest concern with the under. He really used his legs in the first meeting and has the