NFL conference championship betting - Odds, analysis, props, picks - ESPN

There is just one more day of games until we have our matchup for Super Bowl LIX.

The Philadelphia Eagles host the upstart Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship Game, and the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs will meet at Arrowhead Stadium in the AFC Championship Game on Sunday.

If you're looking to bet on the games, Ben Solak and Seth Walder are here to offer their analysis and favorite plays.

Odds as of publication time. For the latest odds, visit ESPN BET.

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Commanders-Eagles | Bills-Chiefs

Saquon Barkley OVER 24.5 rushing attempts (-120)

Solak: While taking the over on Barkley's rushing attempts is a lot less fun than chasing an over on his line of 124.5 rushing yards — one of the highest rushing prop lines we've ever seen — I think this is the smarter play. The Washington Commanders' defense proved in Week 16 that it can stack the box and cause some issues for even the Philadelphia Eagles' mighty rushing game; once Kenny Pickett checked in at quarterback, Barkley had only 41 rushing yards on 22 carries after totaling 109 on his first seven.

I have to imagine that, even with Jalen Hurts in the starting lineup, the Commanders will lean toward that defensive approach again. Hurts has been extremely rough in playoff ball so far, and he is certainly the player you'd rather challenge to beat you. Dan Quinn will load the box and dare the Eagles to pass.

Tyler Fulghum isn't underestimating the Commanders this week and expects them to cover the points spread vs. the Eagles.

But even against loaded boxes, the Eagles will give the ball to Barkley. Barkley runs the ball against stacked and light boxes at league-average rates, and, against 8-plus man boxes, still averages 4.5 yards per carry. The Eagles have