NFL Christmas Day picks, schedule, stats, odds, playoff race - ESPN

The Week 16 NFL schedule for the 2023 season continues Monday with three great Christmas Day matchups, and we have you covered with what you need to know. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the biggest keys to every game and a bold prediction for each matchup.

Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information provides a big stat to know and a betting nugget for each contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes inside the numbers with a game projection and a look at the playoff picture. Analytics writer Seth Walder picks out each matchup's biggest X factor, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody hands out helpful fantasy football intel. Finally, Walder and Moody give us final score picks for all three games. Everything you want to know is here in one spot to help you get ready for a loaded day of NFL football.

Let's get into the full slate, including Raiders-Chiefs, Giants-Eagles and Ravens-49ers. (All playoff chance percentages are via FPI and independent of other results.)

Jump to a matchup:
LV-KC | NYG-PHI | BAL-SF

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: KC -10 (40.5)

Storyline to watch: The Chiefs have beaten the Raiders in 10 of 11 games with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, but that doesn't tell the whole story. In only three of those victories was the final margin less than 14 points. Otherwise, they've been lopsided. So the question heading into this one is: Can the Raiders find a way to stay close and give themselves a chance to win by making plays late in the game? — Adam Teicher

Bold prediction: Raiders edge rusher Maxx Crosby, who has a career-high 13.5 sacks, will sack his "frenemy" Mahomes at least two times. The rivalry between the two has taken off the past two seasons, even as the Chiefs have dominated the series since Crosby and