MLB All-Star Home Run Derby 2024: Breaking down the sluggers - ESPN

The 2024 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby is almost here!

Spots for the most anticipated baseball event of the summer are filling up fast, and some of the biggest names in MLB will be duking it out at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas, on July 15 (8 p.m. ET on ESPN).

This year's Derby will feature some significant changes, most notably that the first round won't be a head-to-head bracket — the top four first-round scores will advance to the semifinal bracket — and that hitters will see a maximum of 40 pitches in each timed round, placing more of an emphasis on efficiency as opposed to speed.

We break down each player's chances as the field is announced, starting with the first star to commit to this year's competition.

2024 home runs: 27 | Longest: 430 feet

Why he could win: Have you seen what Henderson is doing this season? The sophomore shortstop is already on the verge of surpassing his 2023 home run total (28) in just over half a season. The key to taking his power to a new level has been improving his home run-to-fly ball ratio from 19.3% last season to an MLB-leading 32.1% this season. Simply put, good things happen when Henderson hits the ball in the air — and he'll get plenty of pitches to drive on Derby night.

Why he might not: Henderson's Baseball Savant page is a sea of red this season (meaning he's above average in most categories) and he's at or near the top of every power leaderboard, but there is one number that could work against him in the Home Run Derby: 1. As in, this will be his first time participating in the event. We know Henderson's power plays in games, but some players are built for the rigors of the Derby, and others are not, and it's impossible to know which category even the best sluggers fit