Mexico World Cup Group Clinching Scenarios, Odds

First place in Group A will be on the line Thursday night after both Mexico and South Korea opened their 2026 FIFA World Cup with huge wins. 

Mexico opened its World Cup campaign with a dominant 2-0 win over South Africa at Mexico City Stadium last week. 

Julián Quiñones quickly got things started with a goal in the ninth minute, which was followed by Raúl Jiménez's first career World Cup goal in the 67th minute after a South Africa red card.

El Tri is now -160 to win Group A, a jump from the -125 number it was at before the tournament began.

Mexico's crucial match against South Korea will be its 11th World Cup match at home, but first ever in Guadalajara.

Just how important is Thursday's showdown? Here are the key Group A clinching scenarios:

Can Mexico build off its opening match and make a deep run in this tournament? Let's check out the updated odds for El Tri as of June 18.

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Team Mexico — Stage of Elimination

Last 32: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
Last 16: +155 (bet $10 to win $25.50 total)
Quarterfinals: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Semifinals: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Runner-up: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)
Group stage: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Outright winner: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Mexico is currently +5500 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup after its opening win vs. South Africa (Getty Images).

Mexico to Qualify from Group A: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)

Mexico Group A Winner: -160 (bet $10 to win $16.25 total)

Mexico Top Goalscorer 

Raúl Jiménez: -115 (bet $10 to win $18.70 total)
Juliá