Geoff Clark: Dolphins will beat Cowboys in NFL Week 16, and it won’t be particularly close either

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I’m trying to reverse engineer the odds for Dallas Cowboys(10-4) at the Miami Dolphins(10-14) Christmas Eve in NFL Week 16. Cowboys-Dolphins is a pick ’em in the Circa Million V football betting contest. Miami is a slight favorite across the board as of Friday.

The Dolphins get a boost for home-field advantage Sunday. Granted, Hard Rock Stadium isn’t a tough place for visitors to play. So let’s give the ‘Phins a 1.5-boost as the home team. Essentially, the market is saying Dallas is better than Miami at their current versions.

CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates with Jalen Tolbert #18 after scoring a touchdown during the game against the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium on December 17, 2023 in Orchard Park, New York.  (Lauren Leigh Bacho/Getty Images)

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Well, the Dude doesn’t not abide.

Sure, the Dolphins have a sketchy injury report. They have two starting offensive linemen missing practice this week. Tyreek Hillmissed Miami’s 30-0 vs. the New York Jets last week with an ankle injury.

But, Hill hasn’t been walking with a limp. I think Hill could’ve played last week if Miami needed him. Plus, Cowboys OG Zack Martinand LT Tyron Smithhaven’t practiced this week either. One of Dallas’s biggest strength is its offensive line and both of these guys are future Hall of Famers.

So, I’m not seeing the case for the Cowboys. Let’s look at these teams’ best. Miami hung 70 on the Denver Broncos in September. Knowing what we know now about the Rams, Dallas’s best game is a 43-20 home win vs. LA in Week 8.

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