Fantasy, betting impact of the Terry Rozier-Kyle Lowry trade - ESPN

On Tuesday, Terry Rozier was traded to the Heat for Kyle Lowry and a 2027 1st round pick.

Let's take an early look at how this deal affects both fantasy basketball and NBA betting outcomes for all involved.

Rozier was in the midst of the best statistical season of his career, on a career-high pace in minutes (35.5 MPG), scoring (23.2 PPG), distributing (6.6 APG) and field goal percentage (45.9 FG%). Rozier's volume was maximized in Charlotte in large part because teammate LaMelo Ball missed from late November until mid-January with an ankle injury after having had to miss the majority of last season with a similar injury.

Rozier was counted on to pick up the slack, and he did so with averages of 25.8 PPG (46.3 FG%, 90.6 FT%, 40.0 3P%), 7.5 APG, 4.0 RPG, 3.4 3PG and 1.3 SPG in 36.1 MPG during the 17 games Rozier played when Ball was out.

Things will be different for Rozier with the Heat, who already have three players averaging over 20 PPG and six averaging in double digits. The Heat play a more egalitarian brand of ball, and Rozier will have to fit into what they do more-so than going to get his at will.

While this could be a boon for Rozier's goals as an NBA player, increasing his odds of playing in the playoffs and having the chance to compete for championships, it likely depresses his fantasy hoops value.

In Miami, Rozier's volume could look more similar to how it looked in the 13 games he played with Ball this season: 19.8 PPG (45.2 FG%, 72.7 FT%), 5.3 APG, 3.8 RPG, 1.9 3PG and 0.8 SPG in 34.5 MPG.

What isn't clear is whether Rozier is the type that gets more efficient and has better defensive production when he's getting more touches, but in Miami he'll be asked to score more efficiently despite fewer touches. And