Don't be surprised if ... Caleb Williams, Michael Wilson continue to rack up yards - ESPN

Each week in the NFL is its own story — full of surprises, both positive and negative — and fantasy football managers must decide what to believe and what not to believe moving forward. Perhaps we can help. If any of these thoughts come true… don't be surprised! NOTE: All mention of fantasy points is for PPR formats, unless otherwise mentioned.

Williams sure doesn't seem to get much love in the fantasy community, but the second-year passer has averaged 19.3 fantasy points, tying him with the exalted Daniel Jones and reliable Dak Prescott for seventh-best at the position. Most people acknowledge Jones and Prescott are enjoying solid, reliable seasons, but so is Williams, as he is seventh among quarterbacks in rushing yards, quite low on turnovers (only four interceptions, no fumbles), and he is the only one with a receiving touchdown!

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All kidding aside, Williams is a prime option this week because, even though the Pittsburgh Steelers remain ahead of the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North, their pass defense isn't good. In fact, even though the Steelers D/ST ranks 10th in fantasy points, only four defenses permit more fantasy points to quarterbacks, and no defense allows more points to wide receivers, even the Dallas Cowboys. Williams hasn't been a great passer yet, falling short of completing 60% of his passes in six of seven games, but I think that changes Sunday.

As for the preseason prediction that Williams would become the first Bears quarterback to throw for 4,000 passing yards and reach 30