2026 NFL mock draft: Top 10 pick predictions off free agency - ESPN

Money is flying around the NFL, as teams begin agreeing to free agency deals, re-signings and big-name trades. And in turn, those moves — and in some cases, non-moves — have affected how the 2026 NFL draft might unfold. For example, the Chiefs signing running back Kenneth Walker III means they probably won't target Jeremiyah Love at No. 9.

So let's sort through the shifting team needs, prospect targets and potential strategies of franchises slated to pick in the top 10 of April's first round, basing our predictions off all the moves we've seen so far. Keep in mind that plenty of free agent signings still lie ahead as the new league year begins Wednesday. Look at this as snap reactions to the free agency frenzy as we start to get a clearer picture of what might happen on April 23 in Pittsburgh.

Here's a crack at how signings, trades, cuts and departures might have an impact on each team picking in the No. 1 through No. 10 positions — and the prospect who makes the most sense to fill roster holes. I also answered a few big questions for teams picking outside the top 10 that have seen their draft needs shift after Monday's moves.

Jump to a team in the top 10:
ARI | CIN | CLE | KC | LV
NO | NYG | NYJ | TEN | WSH
Questions on the rest of Round 1

Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana

There is one pick that won't change this week, this month, next month… you get the point. Mendoza will be the No. 1 selection and provides the Raiders a beacon of hope around whom to build their franchise going forward. He's an accurate, strong-armed, big-bodied quarterback who met the mark at every challenge of Indiana's national championship run. The Raiders fortified the center position in front of their soon-to-be rookie QB with a three-year, $81