2025 NFL Divisional Round Odds: Back Broncos' Rushing Attack, Texans' Defense

I'm not sure that anything can top last week's Bears-Packers game, or the Jaguars-Bills game, for that matter.

While the divisional round might not be as wild as the first week of playoffs, I do have a sneaking suspicion that we're in for a treat — even if that means below-zero temperatures.

Here's what I'm on this weekend.

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No. 6 Bills @ No. 1 Broncos

The Buffalo Bills' rushing defense is poor, and it appears the last few opponents have barely noticed. 

However, I believe the Broncos and their head coach, Sean Payton, will design a game plan to take advantage of that weakness. 

In the regular season, the Bills' rushing D ranked 28th in yards per game and 30th in yards per rushing attempt. Last weekend against the Jaguars, Buffalo allowed 99 yards on the first eight carries by the two Jaguars running backs.

With the Broncos having a few extra weeks to hone their game plan — coupled with their desire to win the line of scrimmage — I believe Denver running back RJ Harvey will get his carries. I like Harvey to have 14 or more rushing attempts. He’s gone over that number in four of the Broncos' last five games since he became their No. 1 option. 

I’m also going to play Bo Nix's Over rushing yards. He had 83 carries this season, which was fifth-most for NFL QBs this season. The Bills allowed nearly seven yards a carry to quarterbacks this year, which is dead last in the NFL. 

I could be wrong about this game script, but I'm guessing that the Broncos are going to have to run the football. 

PICK: RJ Harvey 14+ rushing attempts
PICK: Bo Nix