2025 NBA draft lottery: Odds for every team, potential picks - ESPN

The 2025 NBA draft lottery brings its annual wave of intrigue Monday (7 p.m. ET, ESPN), with the entire league descending on Chicago and offseason proceedings fully underway for most every franchise.

With Cooper Flagg as the consensus projected No. 1 pick and the headliner of the NBA draft, Dylan Harper representing a strong option at No. 2, and a host of intriguing young players — many of them freshmen — behind them, Monday's event is shaping up to be a fascinating lottery night, with the fates of at least 13 NBA teams hanging heavily on which combinations are drawn.

ESPN NBA draft analysts Jonathan Givony and Jeremy Woo break down the outlook for every team in the lottery, with intel on their offseason ahead and mocking the best prospect fit for each if the order holds constant. Of course, history suggests it won't, with surprises likely on the horizon.

Here's what you need to know looking ahead to Monday's draft lottery.

Jump to a team:
UTA | WAS | CHA | NOR
PHI | BKN | TOR | SAS | HOU
POR | DAL | CHI | ATL

No. 1 pick odds: 14% | Top-four pick odds: 52.1%

If they land in the top four, they should pick ...

1. Cooper Flagg, Duke, SF/PF
2. Dylan Harper, Rutgers, PG
3. Ace Bailey, Rutgers, SG/SF
4. VJ Edgecombe, Baylor, SG

Most likely pick if they stay at No. 1: Flagg

Any NBA team would be thrilled to add Flagg, but Utah stands out in particular as needing the star power of the Duke freshman more than others. The Jazz made a concerted effort to bottom out and finish with the league's worst record (17-65) this season. And Utah is coming off two relatively fruitless years in the lottery (2022-24), winning 37 and 31 games respectively, after trading Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell and officially kick-starting its rebuilding