2025 MLB betting guide: Our favorite prop bet for every team - ESPN

Excitement for the 2025 MLB regular season is growing by the day. Fans will get their first taste of regular season baseball on March 18 as the reigning champion Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Chicago Cubs in Tokyo. For the other 28 teams, they'll have to wait for March 27 and 28 to see their players on the diamond in games that count.

Games will be won, home runs will be hit, and bases will be stolen. Predicting which familiar faces and new favorites will shine in 2025 is no easy task, but our team is up to the challenge. Todd Zola, Derek Carty, Eric Karabell and Tristan H. Cockcroft offer up one prop bet for each MLB team this season.

Odds are accurate as of time of writing. For latest odds on these and other bets, go to ESPN BET..

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To make the playoffs: No (+280)

«But Derek! The Yankees are great! They went to the World Series last year! They won 94 games!» Sure did. But this is about looking forward, and probability and price. +280 means they need just a 26% chance to miss the playoffs for this to have value. They lost Juan Soto, their roster is weaker than last season, they're relying on a number of aging veterans, and their division has four legitimate playoff contenders (not to mention three in the AL West to join the wild-card battle). My forecasting system (THE BAT X) projects a 44% chance of the Yankees missing the playoffs, so the value is there if you can stomach the ugliness of it. — Carty

Gunnar Henderson to win American League MVP (+750)

Aaron Judge of the Yankees is the favorite, followed by Kansas City's Bobby Witt Jr. Henderson is tied with Yordan Alvarez of the Astros as the third-most likely to be the AL MVP. This pick is