2024 NFL Week 11 picks, predictions: Back underdog Chiefs to cover

Are the Chiefs that good or are they that lucky? That's one question that almost every NFL fan is asking right now.

Well, the jury might still be out. However, considering they're still undefeated 10 weeks into the season, it's hard to bet against them.

Keep reading to find out how I'm wagering on Kansas City, along with a couple other of my best bets for this weekend's slate.

(All times ET)

SUNDAY, NOV. 17

Browns @ Saints (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)

The New Orleans Saints got their new-coach bounce last weekend after Dennis Allen was fired. They are still not a good team and needed 109 yards and two touchdowns from Marquez Valdes-Scantling to beat the Falcons by three. 

Those are 109 yards and two touchdowns they should not expect against the Browns on Sunday. 

The Saints are still severely depleted with injuries on offense, and they traded away their best cornerback to the Commanders. They're just not a talented team, despite the fact they beat Atlanta last week.

The Browns are off a bye. They’ve had two weeks to work on an offense around Jameis Winston. After having a hot performance one week, then a cold performance in his second start, I would expect to see something that looks average against the Saints off that bye. 

The Cleveland defense has played better since the offense started to play up to task, and once again, this unit will be healthy off the bye. The defensive line has a huge advantage against the Saints' offensive line. That pressure will lead to Derek Carr turnovers. 

I like the Browns to cover and win. 

PICK: Browns (+1) to lose by fewer than 1 point, or win outright

Chiefs @ Bills (4:25 p.m., CBS)

The oddsmakers have done it again: They’ve made Patrick Mahomes and his